福州市农作物台风灾害风险评估

    Risk assessment of typhoon disaster for crops in Fuzhou City

    • 摘要: 利用福州市2001-2016年共16年的农业台风灾害的受灾和成灾面积数据资料,分析台风灾害及其对农业影响的变化趋势,并进行风险评估,结果表明:福州市农作物台风成灾指数与受灾指数的年际波动较为一致;受灾和成灾的风险概率随风险水平提高而下降,受灾风险概率大于成灾风险概率。

       

      Abstract: Based on the data of typhoon affected area and disaster area of agricultural production in Fuzhou during 2001-2016, the changing trend of typhoon disaster and its effects on agriculture were analyzed, and the risk assessment was evaluated. The results showed that the inter-annual fluctuation of typhoon affected index and disaster index for crops were basically in accordance; the risk probabilities of typhoon affected area and disaster area were decreased as risk level increasing, and the risk probabilities of typhoon affected area was higher than that of typhoon disaster area.

       

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