数字普惠金融对农民增收的本地和邻地效应——基于动态空间杜宾模型的估计
Local and Neighborhood Effects of Digital Inclusive Finance on the Farmers' Income Increase——Estimation Based on the Dynamic Spatial Durbin Model
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摘要: 数字普惠金融的快速发展为乡村振兴注入了新的活力,帮助农民实现收入的增长。从数字普惠金融是否帮助农民增收这一问题出发,基于我国2011-2020年30个省市自治区的普惠金融指数,通过动态空间杜宾模型来检验两者的关系。研究发现,(1)数字普惠金融的发展能对本地农民收入产生显著的正效应;(2)数字普惠金融的发展虽然提升了本地农民的福祉,但由于对周边的资本、人力具有一定的聚集效应,对邻地的居民收入影响不明显,甚至存在一定的抑制作用。Abstract: The rapid development of digital inclusive finance has injected new vitality into the rural revitalization and helped farmers to achieve their income growth. Starting from the question of whether the digital inclusive finance helped farmers increase their income, the relationship between the two was tested in this paper by using the dynamic spatial Durbin model based on the financial inclusion index of 30 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China from 2011 to 2020. The study found that:(1) The development of digital inclusive finance could have a significant positive effect on the income of local farmers. (2) Although the development of digital inclusive finance has improved the well-being of local farmers, it had a certain aggregation effect on the surrounding capital and manpower, and had little impact on the income of residents in the neighboring areas, and even had a certain inhibitory effect.