食用菌价格、产量波动及影响因素实证分析以福建尤溪县为例

    Empirical Analysis of Price, Yield Fluctuations, and Influencing Factors of Edible Fungi:A Case Study of Youxi County, Fujian Province

    • 摘要: 食用菌作为我国第五大种植业,在促进各地农业经济发展的同时,其产业也面临诸多问题。首先,通过对食用菌主产区福建省尤溪县食用菌企业及散户的经营状况研究,揭示当前食用菌产业中存在的问题及成因;其次,对尤溪县不同食用菌的成本收入以及经济效益进行分析,并在此基础上,采用季节模型和HP滤波法对尤溪县不同食用菌进行价格波动分析;最后,再用灰色关联度模型对关联指标在食用菌价格和产量波动中所产生的影响进行阐述。研究结果揭示了食用菌普遍存在季节性波动;不同食用菌的影响因素不相同;价格和常住人口与各品种产量均存在较高相关性。

       

      Abstract: As the fifth largest planting industry in China, the cultivation of edible fungi not only promotes the development of agricultural economy in various regions, but also faces many problems. Firstly, through the research on the operational status of edible fungi enterprises and individual growers in Youxi County of Fujian Province, where was the main producing area of edible fungi, the existing problems and causes in the current edible fungi industry were revealed. Secondly, the cost-income ratio and economic benefits of different types of edible fungi in Youxi County were analyzed. Based on this analysis, the seasonal models and the HP filtering method were used to analyze the price fluctuations of different types of edible fungi in Youxi County. Finally, the grey relational degree model was used to explain the impact of the related indicators on the price and yield fluctuations of edible fungi. The research results revealed that the existence of seasonal fluctuations was common in the production of edible fungi. The influencing factors for different types of edible fungi were different, and there was high correlation between the price, resident population, and the yield of various varieties.

       

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